| VNCI/Deloitte: future of Dutch chemical industry in 2030-2050 |
| Thursday, 26 January 2012 10:47 |
|
The chemical industry in the Netherlands forms part of one of the strongest chemical clusters in the world, the interconnected Antwerp-Rotterdam-Rhine-Ruhr Area (ARRRA). This cluster is responsible for a huge array of products that supply the competitive European manufacturing industry for both domestic and export markets. Clearly, the assets of this cluster extend far beyond its impressive physical production facilities. While the population of the Netherlands represents a mere 0.2 percent of the global total, the chemical industry is responsible for a full 2 percent of global output. In view of the importance of chemicals, the new government of the Netherlands selected the industry as one of nine national growth sectors ("top sectors"), with the aim of putting into place a tailored industrial policy. In June 2011, a high-profile taskforce published the acclaimed "New Earth, New Chemistry: Actieagenda TopSector Chemie" report. In the coming decades, megatrends — forces such as population growth and aging, urbanization, resource scarcity, shifting economic power, and climate change — will reshape global demand in virtually every sector. The chemical industry is already undergoing fundamental changes in response to these megatrends. As one example, bio-based feedstocks have been introduced into the value chain, enabling technologies and end markets to converge. As another, investments in new production capacity have increasingly been shifting to the Middle East and Asia. In the Netherlands, industry watchers are asking what needs to be done to adjust to the emerging realities. Some of the answers lie in this study. Commissioned by the Vereniging van de Nederlandse Chemische Industrie (VNCI), the national chemical industry association, the following pages include insights from over 100 industry specialists at multinational companies such as AkzoNobel, Dow, DSM, ExxonMobil, SABIC, and Shell and in universities, research institutes, and government. The VNCI and Deloitte Netherlands expect significant changes to affect the growth and vibrancy of the Netherlands chemical industry. Global gross domestic product (GDP) will rise fourfold in the next 40 years, new feedstocks will become attractive, and new technologies will transform the industry. Almost unanimously, the specialists interviewed for this report confirmed that these changes offer tremendous opportunities for Europe to build on its current cluster strengths, and that the role played by the Netherlands will be vital. These opportunities will be incorporated into the ongoing stakeholder dialogue to position the chemical industry in the Netherlands for the decades ahead.
Read the full report: VNCI/Deloitte: future of Dutch chemical industry in 2030-2050
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